4 pm Update: The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning for the Cayman Islands. Maximum winds are now 65 mph.Original post:
Aircraft reconnaissance has determined that Tropical Storm Paloma, which developed from Tropical Depression 17, has strengthened. Maximum winds are now 60 mph. At 1 pm, Paloma was centered a little over 100 miles northeast of the border between Honduras and Nicaragua. Movement is to the north at 7 mph, and a turn more to the northeast is expected by late tomorrow.
The forecast track brings the storm near the Cayman Islands as a hurricane and then across central or eastern Cuba toward the Bahamas. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands.
Models continue to indicate that further intensification is likely, and major hurricane status is possible, in the next couple of days. The probability of rapid intensification is 3 to 4 times the climatological average.
Images: Caribbean satellite image from The Weather Channel, Paloma forecast track from National Hurricane Center, Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential from NOAA/AOML
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