PM Update: As of 2 pm, the remnants of Colin are now getting a 70% chance of regenerating, and an Air Force reconnaissance flight has been sent to investigate.
Original post:
Following a strong early showing by Hurricane Alex, Tropical Storm Bonnie fizzled in the Gulf of Mexico after crossing southern Florida. The remnants of Tropical Storm Colin are now about 300 miles north of the Virgin Islands, where they are given a 50% chance of regaining tropical storm status.
As the usual peak of the hurricane season approaches, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center has lowered the high end of its forecast. The current prediction sets a 70% probability of:
- 14-20 Named Storms
- 8-12 Hurricanes
- 4-6 Major Hurricanes
Yesterday, the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University released its revised hurricane season forecast:
- 18 Named Storms
- 10 Hurricanes
- 5 Major Hurricanes
- 19 Named Storms
- 11 Hurricanes
- 5 Major Hurricanes
Images (click to enlarge): NOAA revised 2010 hurricane season forecast and associated climatic factors from Climate Prediction Center