Saturday, October 3, 2009

Climate Bill Increasingly Unlikely This Year

Speaking at the Atlantic Magazine's First Draft of History conference in Washington, White House climate advisor Carol Browner indicated Friday morning that passage of a climate bill before the Copenhagen conference is unlikely:
"Obviously, we'd like to be through the process. That's not likely to happen. But we could perhaps be out of committee...We will go to Copenhagen with whatever we have.
Video below:

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Washington DC Precipitation Update: Nearing Normal, The Hard Way

Barring another passing shower this evening, the 0.08" of rain this afternoon brings the official September total for Washington, DC at National Airport to a nearly normal 3.31", about 13% below average. Rainfall has not been evenly distributed across the area, however. Washington Dulles is closing out the month with less than 50% of the average amount. In general, precipitation was considerably higher to the east and considerably lower to the west across the Maryland/DC/Virginia region.

This is the third consecutive month of below-average precipitation, but September is the closest month to average for 2009 so far. A majority of the months (5) this year have been at least 50% above or below average, and going back to May 2008's whopping excess of 179% above average, 10 of the last 17 months have departed at least plus or minus 50% from the average.

Only 3 months this year (April through June) have been above average, but they were very wet; each of them was over 50% above average. The cumulative yearly total is 10" below 2008's soggy pace, but it's a mere 0.08" below the average through September. Although the statistics might indicate an average year so far, the route to get there was very uneven.

Here are the monthly and year-to-date precipitation totals for the major regional reporting stations, with departures from average in parentheses:
Washington National 3.31"(-0.48")/29.97"(-0.08")
Washington Dulles 1.83"(-1.99")/33.23"(+1.18")
Baltimore (BWI) 3.48"(-0.50")/36.33"(+4.02")
Images (click to enlarge): September 2009 total precipitation (through 8 am Sept. 30) from National Weather Service (NWS); 2008-2009 monthly precipitation amounts and 2008-2009 percentage departures from average, CapitalClimate charts from NWS data

Sunday, September 27, 2009

September Soaker Diminishes DC Dryness

Image (click to enlarge): 24-hour precipitation ending 8 am, September 27, from National Weather Service

5 PM Update: Further north, a daily record was set at Islip on Long Island:
A RECORD RAINFALL OF 1.15 INCHES WAS SET AT ISLIP NY TODAY.   
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 1.03 SET IN 2002.
Original post: This weekend's moderate to heavy rainfall has helped put a dent in the recent precipitation deficit in the Maryland/DC/Virginia area. Amounts across the region have generally ranged from 1-2". For the 24 hours ending at 8 am this morning, totals at the major reporting locations were:
Washington National 1.61"
Washington Dulles 1.10"
Baltimore (BWI) 1.31"
Storm totals reported by the National Weather Service include:
********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************  

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
RAINFALL OF
(INCHES) MEASUREMENT

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

..DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

NATIONAL ARBORETUM 1.56 1000 AM 9/27
DALECARLIA RESERVOIR 1.32 1100 AM 9/27
WASHINGTON 1.07 800 AM 9/27 2 S TAKOMA PARK

MARYLAND

..ALLEGANY COUNTY

FROSTBURG 1.19 1000 AM 9/27

..ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY

ANNAPOLIS 2.00 1200 PM 9/27
ODENTON 1.67 1000 AM 9/27
PASADENA 1.58 1000 AM 9/27
SOUTH GATE 1.58 1000 AM 9/27
CROFTON 1.55 1000 AM 9/27
SOUTH GATE 1.54 1000 AM 9/27 3 SW

..BALTIMORE COUNTY

KINGSVILLE 1.52 1000 AM 9/27
CATONSVILLE 1.44 1000 AM 9/27
TOWSON ESTATES 1.43 1000 AM 9/27 2.5 ENE
JACKSONVILLE 1.42 1000 AM 9/27
TOWSON PARK 1.42 1000 AM 9/27
LONG GREEN 1.34 1000 AM 9/27

..CALVERT COUNTY

NORTH BEACH 2.16 1000 AM 9/27
DUNKIRK 1.91 1000 AM 9/27
PRINCE FREDERICK 1.46 1000 AM 9/27

..CARROLL COUNTY

SYKESVILLE 1.43 1000 AM 9/27
WOODBINE 1.40 1000 AM 9/27
ELDERSBURG 1.24 1000 AM 9/27
MOUNT AIRY 1.09 1000 AM 9/27

..CHARLES COUNTY

WALDORF 1.77 1000 AM 9/27 3.6 SSE
WALDORF 1.70 1058 AM 9/27 3.2 SW
LA PLATA 1.64 1000 AM 9/27
WALDORF 1.47 1000 AM 9/27

..CITY OF BALTIMORE

HAMILTON 1.47 1000 AM 9/27

..FREDERICK COUNTY

THURMONT 0.96 800 AM 9/27

..HARFORD COUNTY

BEL AIR 1.14 1000 AM 9/27
HAVRE DE GRACE 1.14 1000 AM 9/27
FALLSTON 1.13 1000 AM 9/27
JARRETTSVILLE 1.10 1000 AM 9/27

..HOWARD COUNTY

MARRIOTTSVILLE 1.50 1000 AM 9/27
ELLICOTT CITY 1.45 1000 AM 9/27
COLUMBIA 1.42 1000 AM 9/27
WHITE OAK ESTATES 1.37 1000 AM 9/27

..MONTGOMERY COUNTY

MONTGOMERY VILLAGE 1.67 1000 AM 9/27
WHEATON 1.40 1000 AM 9/27
TAKOMA PARK 1.39 1000 AM 9/27
GLENMONT 1.35 1000 AM 9/27
VALLEYWOOD PARK 1.26 1000 AM 9/27

..PRINCE GEORGE'S COUNTY

FRIENDLY 1.95 1000 AM 9/27
CAMP SPRINGS 1.87 1000 AM 9/27
FOREST HEIGHTS 1.78 1000 AM 9/27
OXON HILL 1.75 1000 AM 9/27
BOWIE 1.73 1000 AM 9/27

..ST. MARY'S COUNTY

LEONARDTOWN 1.95 1000 AM 9/27
PARK HALL ESTATES 1.81 1000 AM 9/27
RIDGE 1.57 1000 AM 9/27

..WASHINGTON COUNTY

WILLIAMSPORT POWER 0.94 1000 AM 9/27

VIRGINIA

..ALBEMARLE COUNTY

RUCKERSVILLE 2.10 1200 PM 9/27
EARLYSVILLE 1.55 1200 PM 9/27

..ARLINGTON COUNTY

ARLINGTON 1.42 1100 AM 9/27

..AUGUSTA COUNTY

DEERFIELD 1.64 1200 PM 9/27
CRAIGSVILLE 1.61 1200 PM 9/27
STOKESVILLE 1.60 1200 PM 9/27
CHURCHVILLE 1.56 1200 PM 9/27
COLES RUN DAM 1.56 1200 PM 9/27

..CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE

CHARLOTTESVILLE 1.90 1200 PM 9/27

..CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG

FREDERICKSBURG 1.36 1200 PM 9/27

..CITY OF MANASSAS

MANASSAS 1.40 1200 PM 9/27

..CITY OF WAYNESBORO

WAYNESBORO 1.26 1200 PM 9/27

..CITY OF WINCHESTER

WINCHESTER 1.01 1200 PM 9/27

..CULPEPER COUNTY

RIXEYVILLE 1.33 1151 AM 9/27 6.1 N
RIXEYVILLE 1.33 1151 AM 9/27 6.3 NNE
RIXEYVILLE 1.24 1100 AM 9/27

..FAIRFAX COUNTY

MOUNT VERNON 1.74 1100 AM 9/27
FRANCONIA 1.57 1100 AM 9/27
MCLEAN 1.46 1100 AM 9/27
VIENNA 1.22 1100 AM 9/27
WASH DC/DULLES 1.10 1200 PM 9/27
MANASSAS GAP PARK 1.08 1200 PM 9/27
FAIRFAX STATION 1.07 1200 PM 9/27

..FAUQUIER COUNTY

REMINGTON 1.42 1200 PM 9/27 4 ENE
REMINGTON 1.39 1200 PM 9/27
WARRENTON 1.27 1200 PM 9/27 3.5 SE
REMINGTON 1.21 1200 PM 9/27 5.5 NNE
WARRENTON 1.20 1200 PM 9/27

..GREENE COUNTY

STANARDSVILLE 1.67 1200 PM 9/27

..HIGHLAND COUNTY

HIGHTOWN 2.44 1200 PM 9/27
MUSTOE 1.96 1200 PM 9/27
MONTEREY 1.80 1200 PM 9/27
MCDOWELL 1.76 1200 PM 9/27

..LOUDOUN COUNTY

STERLING 1.13 1200 PM 9/27 3.7 NNW
STERLING 1.06 1200 PM 9/27
ROUND HILL 1.01 1200 PM 9/27

..MADISON COUNTY

RAPIDAN MAGISTERIAL 1.72 1200 PM 9/27
SYRIA 1.68 1200 PM 9/27
NETHERS 1.64 1200 PM 9/27
GRAVES MILL 1.56 1226 PM 9/27
HAYWOOD 1.56 1200 PM 9/27

..NELSON COUNTY

TYE RIVER 2.40 1200 PM 9/27
ROCKFISH 2.36 1200 PM 9/27
LOVINGSTON 1.92 1200 PM 9/27
MONTEBELLO 1.76 1200 PM 9/27

..ORANGE COUNTY

SOMERSET 1.87 1200 PM 9/27
BARBOURSVILLE 1.80 1200 PM 9/27
ORANGE 1.77 1200 PM 9/27

..PAGE COUNTY

BIG MEADOWS WAYSIDE 1.96 1200 PM 9/27
SKYLAND 1.56 1200 PM 9/27
IDA 1.44 1200 PM 9/27
LURAY 1.36 1200 PM 9/27

..PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY

WOODBRIDGE 1.89 1200 PM 9/27 2.6 SSW
WOODBRIDGE 1.78 1200 PM 9/27
LAKE RIDGE 1.63 1200 PM 9/27

..RAPPAHANNOCK COUNTY

SPERRYVILLE 1.46 1200 PM 9/27
WASHINGTON 1.41 1200 PM 9/27
CASTLETON 1.18 1200 PM 9/27
CHESTER GAP 1.08 1200 PM 9/27

..ROCKINGHAM COUNTY

DALE ENTERPRISE 1.64 1200 PM 9/27
BRIERY BRANCH 1.56 1200 PM 9/27
BERGTON 1.40 1200 PM 9/27
HONE QUARRY DAM 1.40 1200 PM 9/27

..SHENANDOAH COUNTY

BURNSHIRE DAM 1.72 1200 PM 9/27
ZEPP 1.56 1200 PM 9/27
WOODSTOCK 1.52 1200 PM 9/27
DETRICK 1.40 1200 PM 9/27
NEW MARKET 1.28 1200 PM 9/27

..SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY

MASSAPONAX 1.44 1200 PM 9/27

..STAFFORD COUNTY

STAFFORD 1.65 1200 PM 9/27
WILDCAT CORNER 1.61 1100 AM 9/27
WHITE OAK 1.45 1200 PM 9/27

..WARREN COUNTY

SHENANDOAH FARMS 1.10 1200 PM 9/27

WEST VIRGINIA

..BERKELEY COUNTY

SLEEPY CREEK DAM 1.14 800 AM 9/27
FALLING WATERS 1.02 800 AM 9/27

..GRANT COUNTY

PETERSBURG 0.88 1000 AM 9/27

..HAMPSHIRE COUNTY

ROMNEY 1.02 800 AM 9/27

..HARDY COUNTY

LOST RIVER STATE 1.10 1000 AM 9/27

..JEFFERSON COUNTY

SHANNONDALE 1.14 800 AM 9/27

..MINERAL COUNTY

KEYSER 1.13 800 AM 9/27

..MORGAN COUNTY

GREAT CACAPON 1.10 800 AM 9/27

..PENDLETON COUNTY

SUGAR GROVE 1.73 1000 AM 9/27
ONEGO 1.61 1000 AM 9/27

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Pacific Northwest Heat Record Update

For other record temperature posts, see:
Record Heat
Record Cold


As predicted, heat records were set or tied in the interior of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and northern California Wednesday; a few more were set today:
 ...PRELIMINARY RECORD HIGHS BROKEN OR TIED TODAY...  

STATION OLD RECORD (YEAR) NEW RECORD
MULLAN PASS (ASOS) 76 (1943) TIED 76
SANDPOINT 84 (2001) TIED 84
WENATCHEE (ASOS) 89 (1994) 90

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 85 DEGREES WAS SET AT BUTTE MT TODAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 85 SET IN 2001.

...RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES REPORTED FOR SEPTEMBER 23RD 2009...

RECORDS
STATION NEW RECORD OLD RECORD YEAR KEPT SINCE

MULLAN PASS 78 74 1952 1938
OMAK 90 89 1939 1931
PULLMAN 93 TIED 93 2001 1940
WINCHESTER 88 TIED 88 2001 1939

...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES REPORTED FOR SEPTEMBER 23RD 2009...

RECORDS
STATION NEW RECORD OLD RECORD YEAR KEPT SINCE

EPHRATA 58 TIED 58 1966 1948

STATION PREVIOUS NEW RECORDS
RECORD/YEAR RECORD BEGAN

MEACHAM, OR 88 / 2001 91 1948
PENDLETON(ARPT), OR 90 / 1994 92 1934
REDMOND, OR 92 / 1994 97 1949

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 98 DEGREES WAS SET AT MONTAGUE CA
YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 96 SET IN 1991.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 93 DEGREES WAS SET AT MT SHASTA CITY
CA YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 92 SET IN 2003.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 92 DEGREES WAS SET AT ALTURAS CA
YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 92 SET IN 1949.

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 90 DEGREES WAS TIED AT KLAMATH FALLS
TODAY [Sept. 23]. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 90 SET IN 1974.

How to Help Boil a Frog

Today's Tom Toles:

Economic Destruction for Fun and Profit

"Promoting alternative energy will destroy the economy."

Don't try telling that to investors on Wall Street, who have sharply bid up the price of a lithium-ion battery company's initial offering today. Shares of A123 Systems (symbol AONE) are up over 50% from this morning's offering price of $13.50, which had been raised from earlier estimates of around $8. After a delayed opening, the shares began trading at $17 and reached a high of $21.14 before retreating slightly to $20.29 at 4 pm. Volume was over 41 million shares.

The company, "one of the world's leading suppliers of high-power lithium ion batteries", has contracts to supply batteries for hybrid and electric cars to 7 auto manufacturers worldwide, including Chrysler, GM, and Nissan.

The A123 CEO Dave Vieau was interviewed this morning on CNBC:




From the press:
Image (click to enlarge): September 24 stock chart for A123, from MarketWatch, via Fidelity Investments

Disclaimer: CapitalClimate unfortunately does NOT own shares in A123.

Google Earth Provides Climate Change Visualization

BNET reports that Google Earth on Tuesday launched a series of guided tours to provide a visualization of climate change projections. According to the official Google blog,
In collaboration with the Danish government and others, we are launching a series of Google Earth layers and tours to allow you to explore the potential impacts of climate change on our planet and the solutions for managing it. Working with data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), we show on Google Earth the range of expected temperature and precipitation changes under different global emissions scenarios that could occur throughout the century.
Also in cooperation with the Danish government, Google has launched the YouTube COP15 channel in anticipation of the Copenhagen climate change conference (fifteenth Conference of the Parties under the United Nations’ Climate Change Convention) to be held in December.

The introductory tour (short version):

Seasonal Outlook

Latest seasonal forecast: Click here.


Latest 3-month temperature outlook from Climate Prediction Center/NWS/NOAA.