Friday, February 26, 2010

New February and All-Time Monthly Snowfall Record for New York

March 1 Update: The preliminary monthly climate report for February confirms a snowfall of 20.9" for the Feb. 25-26 storm and 36.9" for the month.

Midnight Update: The latest report from the National Weather Service shows a storm total snowfall of 20.9" for Central Park, unchanged from late this afternoon. Unofficially, this is the 4th largest snowstorm since records began at New York's Central Park in 1869, exceeding the 20.2 inches on January 7-8, 1996, and just 0.1" less than the infamous blizzard of 1888. The 3 top snowfalls are:
  • 26.9 inches: February 11-12, 2006
  • 26.4 inches: December 26-27, 1947
  • 21.0 inches: March 12-14, 1888
6 PM Update: Another 0.1" has fallen later this afternoon, bringing the February total to 36.9".

The average temperature so far this month in Central Park is 33.1°, or 1.2° below normal. This is nearly 5° warmer than in 2007 when 3.8" or barely 10% as much snow fell. Total precipitation, however, is more than double the normal for the month.

Original post:
The National Weather Service has announced within the last few minutes that the February monthly snowfall record and all-time monthly snowfall record for Central Park, New York were both broken in the previous hour:
...RECORD FEBRUARY SNOWFALL SET AT CENTRAL PARK IS ALSO THE RECORD
MONTHLY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY...

A SNOWFALL RECORD HAS BEEN BROKEN FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY. AS OF
1:00 PM...THE TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE MONTH IS 36.8 INCHES. THIS
BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 27.9 INCHES SET IN 1934.

AN ALL TIME MONTHLY RECORD SNOWFALL OF 36.8 INCHES WAS SET AT
CENTRAL PARK NY AS OF 1:00 PM. THIS BREAKS THE ALL TIME SNOWIEST
MONTH RECORD FOR CENTRAL PARK. THE OLD RECORD WAS 30.5 INCHES SET
BACK IN MARCH 1896.

SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL...AND THE MONTHLY TOTAL FOR CENTRAL PARK WILL
BE UPDATED AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. CENTRAL PARK SNOW RECORDS DATE
BACK TO 1869.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

New All-Time Monthly Snowfall Record for Pittsburgh

Feb. 27 Update: From the National Weather Service:
AS OF 3 AM TODAY...THE MONTHLY SNOWFALL TOTAL HAS REACHED 46.8   
INCHES. FEBRUARY 2010 RANKS AS THE SNOWIEST MONTH EVER. THE PREVIOUS
RECORD FOR SNOWIEST MONTH WAS 40.2 IN JANUARY OF 1978.

THE PREVIOUS RECORD FOR FEBRUARY WAS 25.3 IN 2003. THE NORMAL FOR
FEBRUARY IS 8.5 INCHES.

THE TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE SEASON SO FAR IS 75.0 INCHES. THIS RANKS
AS THE 5TH SNOWIEST SEASON ON RECORD.
Evening Update:
Note that the average temperature so far this month has now increased to 26.1° (3.9° below normal). This is over 5° warmer than in 2007, when just over one-third as much snow fell. The largest daily total of 11.4" fell on Feb. 5, a day which averaged above freezing and 5° above normal.

Original post:
The National Weather Service announced within the last hour that Pittsburgh has broken its record for snowiest month ever (measurements began in 1884). The 0.8" of snowfall today from the back edge of the powerful storm pounding the northeast has pushed the total for February to 40.8", just over the previous record of 40.2" in January 1978.

Several more inches of snow accumulation are forecast for tonight, Friday, and Friday night.

From the NWS:
THE TOP 5 SNOWIEST MONTHS...

40.8 FEBRUARY 2010.
40.2 JANUARY 1978.
36.3 DECEMBER 1890.
34.1 MARCH 1993.
32.3 NOVEMBER 1950.

THE PREVIOUS RECORD FOR FEBRUARY WAS 25.3 IN 2003. THE NORMAL FOR
FEBRUARY IS 8.5 INCHES.

THE TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE SEASON SO FAR IS 69.0 INCHES. THIS RANKS
AS THE 8TH SNOWIEST SEASON ON RECORD.

THE SNOWIEST SEASONS...

82.0 1950-51.
78.5 1913-14.
76.8 1993-94.
76.0 1960-61.
74.5 1995-96.
72.1 1992-93.
70.7 1969-70.
69.0 2009-10.
40.6 NORMAL.

NORMAL FOR THE REST OF FEBRUARY IS ABOUT 1 INCH, MARCH 7.9
INCHES, AND APRIL 1.5 INCHES.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Bob Ryan Leaves WRC Channel 4

See Mediarology for the latest developments.

Feb. 27 Update: Video of Bob Ryan's goodbye broadcast from YouTube:



Midnight Friday Update: Bob Ryan made an emotional "final weekend forecast" and farewell to his audience and colleagues Jim Vance and Doreen Gentzler around 12:20 Saturday morning at the end of the Olympics-delayed local news broadcast.

Although he made no mention of future plans, dcrtv.com reported on Thursday that Ryan's speculated move to Channel 7 (WJLA) may be delayed by a contract non-compete clause. Such restrictions can potentially run as long as 6 months.

Original post:
The dcrtv blog reports that veteran weatherman Bob Ryan will be leaving NBC affiliate WRC-TV (Channel 4) on Friday after 31 years at the station. Ryan's departure, announced as a retirement, leaves open the possibility of his joining forces with long-time weatherman Doug Hill at ABC's WJLA, Channel 7, although no deal has been announced. Ryan, the dean of Washington TV meteorologists, has always been a class act since the Climate Capitalist first viewed his weathercast on WCVB-TV shortly after Ryan began his career in Boston.

Here is Ryan's bio from the undoubtedly soon-to-be defunct web page of NBC-4:
Bob Ryan has been News4’s Chief Meteorologist since 1980 making him the longest-serving weathercaster in Washington. His weather reports air weekdays on News4 at 5, 6 and 11 and on NBCWashington.com. And, listeners to NPR affiliate WAMU-FM can hear Ryan’s forecasts afternoons during All Things Considered.

Ryan’s career began in Cambridge, Mass. where he was involved in cloud physics research with Arthur D. Little, Inc. A side job as a broadcast meteorologist turned into a fulltime job as principal meteorologist for Boston’s WCVB-TV. In 1978, Ryan became the first meteorologist to regularly appear on NBC’s Today show.

As Chief Meteorologist, Ryan has initiated and supported many unique programs at NBC4. For 25 years, his annual Almanac provided weather and environmental information while raising more than $500,000 for local children’s charities. He also created the 4WINDS (Weather Interactive Demonstration Schoolnet) Network that placed more than 400 interactive weather stations in area schools. In 2006, that system was upgraded and expanded to become Weather Plus Neighborhood Network. Hundreds of thousands of kids who grow up in the Washington area enjoy a hands-on introduction to meteorology from these systems.

Ryan was also co-investigator for a project that brought NASA and NBC4 together to lead one of the first television weather sites on the Internet, WeatherNet4. Today, NBC4’s strong web weather presence takes the shape of weatherplus.com, a website and a cable channel which provides round-the-clock forecasts and weather information.
Ryan is also actively involved professionally in his science. In 1996, he was elected president of the American Meteorological Society; he is the only broadcaster to have led this prestigious organization. Ryan has also served the AMS as Chair of the Committee of Broadcast Meteorology, Commissioner of Professional Affairs and member of the Council of the Society. He has also served on the Board of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate for the National Academy of Science two committees of the National Research Council, and the Advisory Committee of the Geoscience Directorate of the National Science Foundation. Ryan’s expertise has been called upon repeatedly to testify before various committees of Congress

During his career, Ryan has received numerous awards, including regional Emmys for Weathercasting and the Ted Yates Emmy for outstanding service to the community. His alma mater, the University of Albany, presented him with a "Distinguished Alumni" award, and the AMS gave him The Charles Franklin Brooks Award for his outstanding service.

Despite these awards and his distinguished career, Ryan is proudest of his role as husband and father. He and his family reside in Northern Virginia.
From dcrtv's mailbag, here is a copy of the email distributed this afternoon at WRC:
Bob Ryan has been an important fixture in our newsroom for 31 years. He has covered everything from tornadoes to hurricanes and of course the occasional blizzard. Millions of area residents have come to depend on his forecast. After much discussion with him, Bob has decided it is time for a change. So Friday will be his last day at NBC4. We can't thank him enough for his dedication and passion. He will certainly be missed. Bob asked me to share the following note with you: "Even for a snow loving meteorologist this has been some winter. And for this snow loving and every other kind of weather loving meteorologist this has been some ride. It’s also been more fun than one person should have over 30 years in the same job with some of the same friends and colleagues for 20-30 years. But this winter’s snows are now pausing and so will I. Yogi Berra said, 'When you come to a fork in the road take it.' I’m going to take that great philosopher’s advice. This fork leads to more time with my wonderful wife Olga, who has had to deal with more storm related power outages and unshoveled walks alone than any spouse should ever have to put up with. I have had the wonderful fortune to work for and with many of the most dedicated people I know, who care deeply about what we do and why we do it. I may not have the opportunity after Friday to sit next to Doreen, Vance, Wendy, Jim or have the fun of interacting with my long time colleagues Tom, Veronica and Chuck and so many of you. But I will always have great affection for everyone here and you will be in my thoughts as you have been part of my professional life. If anyone asks, tell them let’s meet upstairs at Guapo’s when the snow melts, after this winter we all need a beverage and I know I still owe Collins another Jameson"

Monday, February 22, 2010

Update: Washington, DC Breaks Modern February Record For Days of Snow on Ground

For related posts, see:Feb. 22 AM Update: A remaining snow depth of 1" this morning gives Washington 21 days in February with snow on the ground, breaking the record from 1934. The average snow cover for the month is now 9.8".

Dulles has a snow depth of 5", and BWI is at 3".

Feb. 22 Update: A high temperature of 50° on Sunday led to 2" more of melting, but 2" of snow remains on the ground at 1 am, virtually assuring that the record will be broken 6 hours from now.

Dulles is at 5", and BWI has 3" of snow on the ground.

Feb. 21 AM Update: Today's 4" snow depth ties 2010 with 1934 for the record highest number of February days (20) with snow cover since 1930. Average snow depth for the month so far is 10.2".

Feb. 20 AM Update: Temperatures remained above freezing overnight for the 3rd consecutive day, but snow depth declined only 1" to 6" on day 19 of February snow cover. This puts 2010 into a tie with 1979 for 2nd place. Average snow depth for the month so far is 10.6".

Snow depth at Dulles is 8" and BWI is at 6".

Feb. 19 AM Update: Day 18, snow depth 7". This year is now in sole possession of 3rd place, one day away from 1979.

Feb. 18 AM Update: This morning's snow depth is 9". This February's count of 17 days with snow on the ground is now tied with 1961 for 3rd place.

Original post:
With a late January snowstorm and two monster February storms, Washington, DC has now had measurable snow on the ground for 16 out of the first 17 days this month. This morning's measurement showed a remaining depth of 10" after reaching a high of 21" on the 11th.

A CapitalClimate analysis of daily data since measurements began at or near the current National Airport location in 1930 shows that 2010 has now tied with 2003 for the number of days in February with 1" or more on the ground. That puts this year tied for 4th place, behind 1961, 1979, and 1934. Barring an unforeseen meltdown, the 1961 3rd place record of 17 will be tied tomorrow. With temperatures expected to remain in minimal melting territory through the rest of the week, the 80-year record of 20 days in 1934 could be tied on Sunday the 21st.

Image (click to enlarge): Washington, DC February daily snow depth for 2010 and historical comparison; CapitalClimate chart from National Weather Service data

Friday, February 19, 2010

Richmond Ends Near-Record Cold Streak

For other record temperature posts, see:
Record Heat
Record Cold


Temperatures at Richmond, VA warmed to a high of 49° on Thursday (Feb. 18). This was the first time temperatures had been above 45° since January 28. The 20-day streak of temperatures below 45° was the 3rd longest in records which began in 1897. The longest was a 30-day stretch ending Feb. 9, 1966.

Richmond's high today was 50°. With a low of 31°, the day was 0.5° above normal.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Pittsburgh Near All-Time Record Monthly Snowfall

Feb. 25 Update: The record was broken today.

Evening Update: Although Pittsburgh's average temperature of 23.3° for February so far is 5.8° below normal, it's significantly higher than the 20.9° recorded in 2007. Only 14" of snow fell that month, a little over a third as much as this year.

On the other hand, the average in January 1978, the current snowiest month, was 0.7° colder. That month, in turn, was over 11° warmer than the previous January, in which more than a foot less of snow fell.

Original post:
Today's trace of snow at Pittsburgh as of 5 pm failed to increase the total, but yesterday's 1.4" raised the monthly snowfall for February to 40.0". This is within 0.2" of the all-time snowiest month of January 1978 in Pittsburgh. The top snowiest months are:
40.2 JANUARY 1978.  
40.0 FEBRUARY 2010.
36.3 DECEMBER 1890.
34.1 MARCH 1993.
32.3 NOVEMBER 1950.
The monthly total so far is nearly 15" more than the old February record of 25.3" set in 2003. The long-term February average is 8.5".

The seasonal total of 68.2" is the 8th highest on record:
82.0 1950-51.  
78.5 1913-14.
76.8 1993-94.
76.0 1960-61.
74.5 1995-96.
72.1 1992-93.
70.7 1969-70.
68.2 2009-10.
40.6 NORMAL.
Normal amounts for the remainder of the season are:
February 3.3"
March 7.9"
April 1.5"
Snowfall records for Pittsburgh began in 1884.

The National Weather Service forecasts the next chance of snow, other than snow showers, to be Sunday night Feb. 21 or Monday Feb. 22.

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Gettting Down in the Gutter: Voyage of the Ice-Dammed

Progress Update (Friday): After 5 days of perseverance and temperatures edging upward into the low 40s, meltwater is now virtually gushing through the downspout. Note that there is still a solid ice bridge from the lower part of the roof across the top of the gutter, but the open channel in the lower part of the gutter is flowing freely with only minor dripping. Most of the runoff at this point is now from the upper roof, whose gutter is still heavily iced up but is too high to reach.

One thing which also helps is that I got my roof rake on Wednesday. (Thank you Strosniders Hardware and Canadian ingenuity!) Even after about a week of settling and refreezing, it was still possible to carve away the snow, and I was able to clear the bottom half of the lower roof. This should significantly reduce the amount of remaining melting.

Another point to remember is to clear a path from the bottom of the downspout or its extender pipe so the runoff can flow away from the house. This is especially important with at least some rain in the forecast for Monday.

Original post:
As many Mid Atlantic residents (and some in the South) are discovering, the excitement of an unusually heavy snowstorm can be quickly followed by the hangover of ice dams. Especially when temperatures fluctuate above and below freezing, heating from the attic below and the sun above can produce melting snow which refreezes in gutters. The solid ice then prevents further meltwater from draining. That water can then back up under shingles and behind soffits to leak into interior walls and ceilings.

Suggestions in the media to prevent ice dams by increasing attic insulation or removing snow from the roof are certainly helpful for next year, but what can you do if they've already formed? (Roof rakes, which are apparently well known in more northern climes, are now all the rage here in the Washington metro area, but good luck trying to find a hardware store which has them in stock, and it's a little late to order online as that glacier on your roof becomes more solidified with each thaw/freeze cycle.) Another "helpful" suggestion is to rip down your gutters as a last resort if the water is flowing heavily inside your house. Under the frozen conditions, exactly how are you supposed to do that?

Believe it or not, this north-facing, perpetually shaded, ice-laden gutter at the climate capitalist capitol (image to the right) is actually draining at a rate comparable to that of a spring shower. The temperature at the time the picture was taken was about 35°, and the high for the day was in the upper 30s.

The way to accomplish this is to use some of the same natural forces that created the problem to help solve it. Clearly, you're not going to simply remove that entire mass of ice without some help. Water is almost as lazy as you are, so with a little bit of effort on your part, you can take advantage of that fact. According to the "theory of gravity", water wants to flow downhill. If you give it a suitable path, even a small one, it will continue to follow it.

What you'll need:
  • a 2-quart garden watering can with a long, narrow spout
  • a 6-foot step ladder
  • a convenient source of hot water
An assistant to stay inside and refill the watering can is also helpful.

After you've strained your back shoveling out your driveway and sidewalk, the last thing you want to be doing is shoveling out your lawn, but you need to clear a path through the deep snow to get the step ladder in position to reach the gutter. (This technique only works on first-floor level gutters, since it's too dangerous to climb higher in icy conditions.)

Because water wants to flow downhill, you need to start at the end of the gutter above the downspout. Carefully climb up with the watering can partially filled with hot water and position the end of its spout on the edge of the ice directly above the downspout. Since the ice is slippery and it only gets more so when water is applied, it's easiest to do this starting at the top edge of the front of the gutter. Keep the spout in position as you slowly pour the water onto the ice. You now have a kind of water-powered drill in action, with the hot water boring into the ice. Repeat application of the hot water until you've created enough of a hole for the spout to reach all the way to the downspout and water is flowing down it.

Now that you have a way for the water to escape the gutter, you need to give it a path to reach the downspout. Set up the ladder at the far end of the gutter and repeat the melting process. As long as the gutter remains blocked, water will overflow the gutter. Some of it may also back up into the soffit and possibly get inside the wall seemingly adding to the problem, but it's better to have a little extra water overflowing now instead of a lot more later.

Eventually, the water will melt its way along the bottom of the gutter and create a path all the way to the downspout. You will be able to see this visually when water stops overflowing from the gutter, dripping from the soffit, or running off the uphill end of the gutter. You will even be able to hear it gushing down the downspout.

Note that this process doesn't require clearing the gutter of ice; you just need enough of a path for the runoff from new melting on the roof to escape. Some ways to accelerate the melting include:
  • Use boiling water instead of water from the hot water tap.
  • Mix some de-icing salts in the water.
Once you've created a big enough access hole through the ice, you can continue to apply de-icer by filling one leg of a pair of old pantyhose with de-icer, tying it off and inserting it into the hole to be dissolved by the water as it runs off. It's helpful to have the pantyhose secured with a string, so you can fish it out before it gets carried off to clog up the gutter or downspout.

If temperatures drop below freezing at night, the water flow may again be blocked, so you'll probably need to reapply the hot water treatment for a few days until the melt process becomes self-sustaining. Once it's been started, however, it's much easier to get going again. If the roof is exposed to enough sunlight, the melting may succeed on its own within one or two days.

Images (click to enlarge):
  • Ice dam formation process
  • Gutter with ice dam
  • Melt hole above downspout
  • Two melt holes near end of gutter furthest from downspout
Top image from Des Moines Register, others by CapitalClimate (permission to reproduce granted under Creative Commons License provided full attribution is made with linkage to this web page)

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